At least 42 people were killed in Iraq on Tuesday 02/11/2008. 16 bus passengers were caught in a roadside bombing in southern Iraq North of Basra. Another bus was heat by a road side bomb in Northern Baghdad and sprayed with machine-gun fire killing one and wounding dozens. The bomb was apparently targeting a nearby police patrol. In Duluiyah, 75 km North of Baghdad, a suicide bomber blew up his truck at a checkpoint near the headquarters of the local Awakening Council, killing five people. In Kut, 100 miles southeast of Baghdad, clashes with Shiite cleric Moqtada Sadr's ‘Mahdi Army’ militia left 12 dead and 14 wounded. Others were killed all over Iraq in minor incidents.
Just a day earlier 9 American soldiers wee killed in 3 different events, 5 of them in a road side bomb in the center of Baghdad and another Awakening Council leader Sheikh Thaer al-Karkhi , assassinated by a female suicide bomber. Two days earlier, on 02/09/2008, 68 civilians were killed in a double bomb attack in Karada shopping area also in the center of Baghdad.
According to Iraq’S official data the number of casulties in Iraq in 02/2008 jumped to 633 from 460 in January - a relative rise of more then 35% to previous month and the tendency is going on.
Israel had long experience in Lebanon fighting the Hizbullah in the security Zone from 1990-2000. Israeli generals came time and again with a new security plan which, in general, worked very well at first. New tactics, new methods and new technology surprised the enemy. But the enemy, not less talented, adapted himself very soon to the new reality and responded with new tactics of his own in a cycle of constant evolution of measures and anti measures. In fact Israel never won the war in Lebanon and all achievements were short lived.
There are clear signs that General David Petraeus’s security plan for Iraq, from 02/2007, which was very successful in containing Iraq’s violence and removing Iraq issue from the TV screens in USA in a year of election is extracted. Iraq insurgency adopted itself to the new situation and a new security plan is needed to cop with the constant evolution of war.
Amide the increasing violence in Iraq Admiral William Fallon, the USA military commander of the Central Command (CENTCOM) in charge on the Middle East, Central Asia and the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, has, on 03/12/2008, stepped down from his post, after only one year in office, because of disagreements with US president over his policies on Iran.
Admiral William Fallon was also in division of opinion with General David Petraeus about the USA level of troops in Iraq. Since US is running out from capable combat troops, the surge of troops in Iraq is on the expense of the number of USA soldiers in Afghanistan where NATO is loosing ground to the Taliban and where European allies are very reluctant to increase their number of troops or to deepen their involvement in the Afghan war.
Admiral William Fallon argued that despite the might of USA armed forces US can not succeed to win or even contain the violence in Iraq and Afghanistan at the same time and risk a third armed conflict with Iran.
Although Admiral William Fallon is stepping down the dilemma remains.
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